Examples of high signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) information:
The value of education is the curation of knowledge.
The value of network is the curation of power.
Signal Usually Comes From A Few:
The fact that not a lot of people are willing to spend the time and energy to solve hard problems implies signal is scarce.
People who try to solve a “makeup” problem are creating a majority of the noise. We probably see this phenomenon most often in the software industry.
On the other hand, there are people who innocently don’t know they are making noise.
- Identify the signals from the past — this is much easier than identifying in the present because of Lindy Effect
- Learn about the histories and motivations of the interested problem along with first principle to dive as deep as you can
- With enough context, detect BS and identify value could give you a good indication of signal